Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.942902 1.075921 1.220789 1.390256 1.583062 1.795601 2.047695
2025-02-23 0.714022 0.890091 1.099017 1.365145 1.695158 2.091066 2.602395
2025-03-02 0.589936 0.782557 1.025304 1.353556 1.785933 2.336286 3.090724
2025-03-09 0.510255 0.712148 0.979410 1.358895 1.884003 2.585448 3.594870
2025-03-16 0.449906 0.656256 0.941331 1.363629 1.973481 2.822923 4.097849
2025-03-23 0.404523 0.613861 0.914336 1.376658 2.070323 3.073316 4.636412
2025-03-30 0.356194 0.560486 0.864172 1.347967 2.099708 3.224513 5.038831
2025-04-06 0.315934 0.514149 0.818533 1.319330 2.123142 3.364588 5.431905
2025-04-13 0.278274 0.467395 0.766804 1.274543 2.114665 3.451301 5.744617
2025-04-20 0.269585 0.466358 0.786872 1.345967 2.297685 3.854383 6.600683
2025-04-27 0.259884 0.462354 0.801183 1.408284 2.469927 4.252641 7.481848
2025-05-04 0.249356 0.455657 0.809920 1.461127 2.629531 4.641279 8.378295
2025-05-11 0.234305 0.439868 0.802161 1.485530 2.743786 4.965574 9.198753
2025-05-18 0.212967 0.410536 0.767734 1.458749 2.763768 5.125767 9.739273
2025-05-25 0.196054 0.387669 0.742688 1.446371 2.808060 5.331737 10.379889
2025-06-01 0.183284 0.371383 0.728180 1.452073 2.885990 5.604653 11.168585
2025-06-08 0.171665 0.356164 0.714185 1.457130 2.962413 5.879800 11.983798
2025-06-15 0.162113 0.344137 0.705215 1.471045 3.056985 6.196716 12.907762
2025-06-22 0.148700 0.322817 0.675731 1.440402 3.058151 6.328085 13.464903
2025-06-29 0.136578 0.303041 0.647589 1.409815 3.056270 6.452146 14.015860
2025-07-06 0.123989 0.281044 0.612855 1.361978 3.013364 6.487325 14.380024
2025-07-13 0.123413 0.285479 0.634621 1.438265 3.244420 7.115949 16.079375
2025-07-20 0.121863 0.287553 0.651382 1.504824 3.459504 7.726980 17.790956